Well, we’ve finally made it. Golden Globes, BAFTAs, SAGs, and Critics Choice awards have all been handed out and Academy voters have all submitted their ballots, which can only mean one thing… The Academy Award nominations are here! On January 23, the nominees will be released in what is sure to be a morning full of snubs, surprises, and opinions.
We decided to take a look at some of the major categories and make our best guesses of who we will definitely see nominated and who could be surprising us. Take a look below!
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- The Shape of Water
- Lady Bird
- Call Me By Your Name
- Get Out
While it’s uncertain whether there will be eight or nine films nominated for Best Picture, there are five that we can definitely expect to see nominated. Three Billboards already has the Golden Globe and the SAG award with The Shape of Water holding tightly onto its Critics Choice and Producers Guild wins. Lady Bird, Call Me By Your Name and Get Out have all consistently been nominated and we aren’t expecting that to change heading into nominations.
- All the Money in the World
- The Florida Project
- I, Tonya
On the maybe list, Dunkirk and I, Tonya will most likely be receiving nominations thanks to the slew of nominations they have been receiving this award season. However, there’s a lot of love for The Florida Project and voters will be looking for the opportunity to get the film on the ticket
The Long Shots
- The Big Sick
- Molly’s Game
- Darkest Hour
- Wonder Woman
- The Post
The Big Sick is hoping to ride the SAG win wave, but the chances are pretty slim considering the other big name films that have had a presence the whole season. The Post lost a lot of its momentum when it was snubbed by the BAFTA nominations, but there is something so irresistible about a lineup of Hanks-Streep-Speilberg that voters may not be able to avoid. Female-led movies Molly’s Game and Wonder Woman are certainly dark horses as well, especially thanks to their Producer Guild noms.
- Gary Oldman, The Darkest Hour
- Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
- Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Historically, the acting categories have had five nominees. We can definitely expect to see Gary Oldman receive one as his turn as Winston Churchill has gotten him the Golden Globe, Critics Choice, and the SAG award.
- James Franco, The Disaster Artist
- Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.
- Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
While Franco was absolutely a shoe-in and the frontrunner for the entire category, his recent sexual harassment allegations have essentially made him a giant question mark due to the timing of voting and the news break. While he did walk away with the Golden Globe and Critic’s Choice, the Academy may choose to pass on him, especially in light of all the backlash they received surrounding Casey Affleck last year. This will certainly free up a spot for Denzel Washington who has been consistently nominated and Daniel Day-Lewis who will be retiring soon.
The Long Shots
- Tom Hanks, The Post
- Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger
- Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman
Gyllenhaal put out a great performance in Stronger, but it didn’t make quite the expected splash. However, he’s always an Oscar favorite along with Tom Hanks who may squeeze in with a nomination for The Post despite not having been nominated since 2001. Isn’t that crazy? Hugh Jackman received a surprise Golden Globe nomination so there’s a small chance that the Academy may give the little musical that could some recognition.
Best Supporting Actor
- Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
- William Dafoe, The Florida Project
These three actors have consistently been receiving nominations and will most definitely all be receiving one tomorrow. Dafoe was nominated for the Golden Globes, SAGs, and BAFTAs so he will likely be finding his way onto the ticket alongside Rockwell who has been totally sweeping award season thus far.
- Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
- Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri
- Christoper Plummer, All the Money in the World
Hammer has been teetering between nominations for Call Me By Your Name so he’s a bit of a wildcard. Three Billboards has been receiving so much love that Harrelson, who just had a SAG nom, may squeeze in and create some friendly rivalry between him and Rockwell. All the Money in the World has had quite the cinematic journey this year, and Plummer has been often praised for his last-minute performance after stepping in for Kevin Spacey, so any of these names could be taking the final two spots.
The Long Shots
- Steve Carrell, Battle of the Sexes
Despite being an early contender after the initial buzz for Battle of the Sexes and a Golden Globe and SAG nomination, Carrell will most likely be bumped out of the Oscars by Harrelson or Hammer whose films and performances received far more critical success.
- Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
- Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
McDormand, Ronan, and Hawkins are absolutely shoe-ins for their nominations. McDormand has already won the Globe and SAG, which has basically secured her spot and Ronan also walked away with a Golden Globe. While Hawkins has yet to win, she has dominated the nominee lists and discussions this season.
- Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
- Judie Dench, Victoria & Abdul
- Meryl Streep, The Post
Robbie’s turn in I, Tonya will most likely be taking the fourth spot, but it’s not as guaranteed as the other three. Thankfully she also has SAG and Golden Globe nominations to help secure her nomination. That leaves one open spot, which would most likely go to Dench or Meryl Streep. Streep’s nomination would be her 21st so the Academy may nominate her not only because of the important role she played in The Post, but because she’s Meryl Streep.
The Long Shots
- Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game
There’s certainly a lot of industry love for Molly’s Game and especially Chastain’s performance. We love a good surprise nomination so if there’s one that could happen in this category it would be Chastain.
Best Supporting Actress
- Allison Janney, I, Tonya
- Laurie Metcalfe, Lady Bird
- Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
While Janney is absolutely the frontrunner, we can expect two of the other nominations to go to Metcalfe and Blige as well. Janney and Metcalfe are the only ones to have received nominations for the Golden Globes, SAGs, and BAFTAs.
- Hong Chau, Downsizing
- Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
- Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
The final two spots are really where this category will get interesting as there really aren’t any obvious choices. Hunter and Chau both received SAG nominations while Spencer received a Golden Globe. The Big Sick was certainly more favored than Downsizing, but the giant question mark here could clear the way for a surprise nomination…
The Long Shots
- Tiffany Haddish, Girls Trip
- Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World
People are rooting for Haddish to earn the recognition she deserves for her scene-stealing part in Girls Trip. It would be a nomination beloved by all. However, Williams was incredible in All the Money and with a Globe nomination and the recent news about the pay gap she may be getting some Academy love.
- Guierllmo Del Toro, The Shape of Water
- Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
- Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
- Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Historically, three or four of the Directors Guild nominees end up on the final Oscar ticket, so we can expect to see most of the category to include Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice winner Guillermo del Toro, Christopher Nolan, Greta Gerwig, and Martin McDonagh.
- Jordan Peele, Get Out
- Sean Baker, The Florida Project
Jordan Peele will most likely be scooping up the final spot, but The Academy loves to surprise when it comes to the Best Directing category and Sean Baker could be a Directors Guild shakeup.
The Long Shots
- Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World
- Steven Speilberg, The Post
Steven Speilberg is Steven Speilberg so he is, of course, worth the consideration, but much like Ridley Scott’s All the Money in the World, their films just haven’t been getting the award love many had envisioned.
Who do you think will be walking away with nominations? What would be the best surprise for you? The nominations for the 90th Academy Awards will take place at 8:22AM EST on January 23rd. The ceremony will be held on March 4 and returning host Jimmy Kimmel will be emceeing the evening.
Having studied Media & Writing at James Madison University, I always knew that I wanted to do some type of creative writing, but being able to write about zombies, Starks, and superheroes on a daily basis for Fan Fest is my actual dream. While I probably shouldn’t be as proud as I am to be so similar to Nick Miller, I do hope to one day write my own “Pepperwood Chronicles’.